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Trella Health Report: Medicare Advantage to Exceed 50% by 2025 in Post-Acute Care

by Jasmine Pennic 07/29/2025 Leave a Comment

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2025 Post-Acute Care Industry Trend Report by Trella Health

What You Should Know: 

– Trella Health, a source of healthcare growth insights and performance analytics, today announced the release of its 2021 Post-Acute Care Industry Trend Report. 

– The annual report highlights the most significant trends impacting the post-acute industry, providing crucial data for organizations navigating a complex and evolving healthcare landscape.

2021 Post-Acute Care Industry Trend Report Key Takaways

The 2021 report delves into various key topics, including Medicare Advantage enrollment, inpatient discharges, home health adherence, hospice utilization, skilled nursing admissions, telehealth utilization, and NPI closures. It also explores the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on the industry and identifies areas beginning to return to pre-pandemic levels.

To produce the Industry Trend Report, Trella Health leverages its exclusive access to 100% of Medicare Part A, B, and claims data from CMS. The report’s comprehensive analysis reveals several significant trends:

  • Medicare Advantage (MA) Growth: At its current growth rate, MA enrollment is projected to exceed 50% of eligible Medicare beneficiaries in 2025.
  • Shifts in Post-Acute Discharges: Between Q2 2020 and Q3 2021, home health instructions for inpatient discharges increased by 2.5 percentage points, reaching 24.1%. Conversely, skilled nursing instructions saw a decline of 2.4 points, falling to 18.6%.
  • Consistent Home Health Adherence: Adherence to inpatient discharge instructions for the reporting period of Q3 2020 to Q2 2021 remained consistent at 71.9%, indicating a substantial growth opportunity for home health agencies.
  • Return to Pre-Pandemic Levels: In 2021, inpatient discharge instructions to Post-Acute Care (PAC) agencies returned to pre-pandemic levels, with discharges more frequently referred to home health services agencies than skilled nursing facilities.

“The post-acute care industry is complex and has experienced significant transition over the past few years due to the pandemic and throughout the shift to value-based care. Trella’s data and insights are critical to making important business decisions that allow for smarter growth, reduced costs, and healthier outcomes,” shared Scott Tapp, CEO of Trella Health.

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